Thursday, June 20, 2013

Participation Assignment: Using GIS to Identify Drug Markets


 
                                                                                              Map from the Wall Street Journal online
                                                    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB115930493250674733.html#slide/1
 
                   Targeting the drug epidemic is critical as there is a direct correlation to violent crimes. However, traditional drug enforcement methods have not been successful in battling the drug market. These traditional methods, which consisted of stopping citizens in the streets and questioning them was counterproductive, as it resulted in citizens becoming weary of law enforcement and disinclined to help. In High Point, North Carolina the police department embraced a new method which implemented the use of spatial data to create a focused deterrence model. This was built from a modification of a model used by Boston's Violent Crime Task Force. The goal of this model is to target specific areas where there is a high density and correlation between the drug market and violent crimes. Once the area and the offending dealers are know. The hope is that the community and the offending drug dealers will work with the police department to alleviate crime in the area.

           Unlike previous approaches to alleviate drug crimes, this method did not ask the question “Where are the drug markets”, it instead asked “Where are the densities of violent, sex, or weapons crimes that may be spatially concurrent with drug sales?” This questions reinforces the relationship of dealing drugs to violent crimes. To answer these questions GIS was used to generate a series of crime density maps based on a year of data. The data included 911 calls, drug arrests, field contacts, and a category of serious crimes which included; murder, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, weapons, sex, and prostitution. Collected data was converted to point data consisting of addresses. This data was geographically related using point features and each point included attributes on date and time, address, nature of offense, and XY coordinates. The data was then used to analyze dealer locations, distribution of dealers within the market, relationship between dealer location and crime. However, one alteration to the methodology would be to use more selective 911 data, for instance, only calls related to drugs, guns, and persons crimes . The 911 data applied to the High Point model was not selective enough and overwhelmed the density portion of the map with non-applicable results.

            Each layer was used to create a different kernel density map; a map of 911 calls, a map of drug arrest, a map of field contacts, and a map of serious crimes. The kernel density used a 1,000 foot radius that clustered nearby offenses. Interestingly the four different density maps did not show a similar pattern and had a significant difference. Each map and the density clusters of each map were analyzed separately in a process called “unpacking” this process closely looks at the relationship of the layers crime and drugs. Unpacking the data eliminated many of the areas as possible targets of the deterrence model. The dated was when overlayed with each layer and the chosen area was the West End neighborhood.

          The spatial data showed that the West End neighborhood had a high volume of crime associated to the drug market. Further analysis of this neighborhood reveled that it had a “small local 'drug' market in equilibrium” this means that the drug market consisted of walk-up and curbside drive through drug transactions and that the market was not expanding or getting smaller. A list of known street level dealers was compiled and an unique approach was taken. They were given a choice; accept the help of the community to stop dealing and find alternative employment or education, or be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law. This was known as the “call in” phase of the model. Notified dealers were given a set time period when there decision had to be made.

The results of this model were said to be a drastic and immediate. The success of the model reeds like an ending to a “Happier Ever After” novel

“The West end drug market vanished overnight. Dealers and prostitutes
  were no longer present in the area.” “The character of the neighborhood
  changed immediately; residents ventured outside again, children
   played in the playground, people cared for their property”

            The goals of this project were met, and perhaps even surpassed, resulting in long term improvements. The alleviation of drug related crimes in this area allowed the police department to tackle other pressing criminal matters. This is a model that could be applied to many concentrated areas across the US and abroad. The use of GIS to alleviate crime allowed law enforcement to sift deeper into the root of the problem and became more “data-driven”, using GIS data to evaluate and eliminate crime hot-spots.

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